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County profile · FIPS 04007 · Payson, AZ

Gila County, AZ: home risks and climate

FEMA’s National Risk Index rates Gila County “Relatively Moderate” for overall risk relative to other US counties, 9th of 15 counties in Arizona by risk score. The hazards rated Relatively High or Very High here are wildfire, lightning and winter weather. These are relative ratings, not probabilities.

County profile · Arizona

Gila County, AZ

Overall riskRelatively Moderate
All 18 hazards for this countyrelative to other US counties, not a probability
LightningRelatively High
  • Use surge protection for electronics; ask an electrician about a whole-home surge protector.
  • Keep trees near the house healthy and trimmed.
  • Unplug sensitive electronics before a storm if you can.
WildfireRelatively High
  • Clear dead leaves and needles from gutters, the roof and under decks.
  • Keep the first 5 feet around the house free of anything that burns (mulch, firewood, plants).
  • Cover vents with 1/8-inch metal mesh to keep embers out.
Winter weatherRelatively High
  • Clean gutters so melting snow drains instead of forming ice dams.
  • Check attic insulation and air sealing; warm attics cause ice dams.
  • Keep a snow shovel, ice melt and a backup heat plan.
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate
  • Look up your FEMA flood zone, and remember that "minimal hazard" zones still flood.
  • Raise or move valuables, the furnace and the water heater off a basement floor where you can.
  • Test the sump pump and its backup before the wet season.
Heat waveRelatively Moderate
  • Service the AC before the hot season and clear the outdoor unit of debris.
  • Change the AC filter; a clogged filter cuts cooling.
  • Plan a cool place to go if the power or AC fails.
Strong windRelatively Low
  • Trim dead or overhanging branches before storm season.
  • Check that gutters, siding and roof edges are fastened tight.
  • Tie down or store outdoor furniture, grills and trampolines.
LandslideRelatively Low
  • Watch for new cracks in the ground, tilting trees or fences, and doors that stick.
  • Keep gutters and drains directing water away from slopes.
  • Know the signs of a debris flow during heavy rain.
HurricaneVery Low
  • Fit storm shutters or pre-cut, labeled plywood panels and store the fasteners with them.
  • Photograph every room and your roof before the season starts, for your insurance file.
  • Know your evacuation zone and where you would go.
TornadoVery Low
  • Pick the safe room: lowest floor, interior, no windows. Tell everyone in the house.
  • Keep shoes, a flashlight and a helmet for each person there.
  • Turn on wireless emergency alerts on every phone.
HailVery Low
  • Photograph the roof and siding now, so you have a dated before picture.
  • Ask about impact-rated (UL 2218 Class 4) shingles when the roof is replaced.
  • Know your policy’s wind and hail deductible in dollars.
Cold waveVery Low
  • Know where the main water shutoff is and that it turns.
  • Insulate pipes in unheated crawlspaces, garages and exterior walls.
  • Have the heating system checked before winter.
DroughtVery Low
  • Watch for new cracks in foundations, walls and door frames; drought shrinks clay soils.
  • Fix running toilets and dripping faucets.
  • If you have a well, know its depth and recent yield.
EarthquakeVery Low
  • Strap the water heater to the wall with two straps.
  • Secure tall furniture and TVs to studs.
  • Know how to shut off gas at the meter, and only do it if you smell gas.
  • Know if you are in a lahar or ashfall zone.
  • Keep N95 masks and goggles for ash.
  • Have a plan to protect the HVAC system from ash.
AvalancheVery Low
  • Know whether your home or access road crosses avalanche paths.
  • Follow local avalanche center forecasts in winter.
  • Keep supplies for being snowed in for several days.
Coastal floodingNot Applicable
Ice stormNot Applicable
TsunamiNot Applicable
Federal disaster declarations23latest: Telegraph fire, Jun 2021
Flood-insurance claims, all years154NFIP v3, county total
Climate zone4BMixed-dry (IECC 2021) · Mixed-dry region

Winterize outdoor faucets before ~Dec 25. Typical first 32°F night (50% date) at Roosevelt 1 S, 32 km away. Last freeze ~Jan 17.

Radon Zone 2: moderate predicted indoor radon. EPA recommends testing every home, whatever the zone.

November plan, mixed-dry climateAll 12 months
  1. This monthPress the test button on every smoke and CO alarm.
  2. This monthCheck the date on the back of every smoke and CO alarm.
  3. This monthLook under every sink and around toilets and the water heater for drips.
  4. WatchLook in the attic with a flashlight after the first big storm of the season.
  5. WatchStock a power-outage kit: flashlights, batteries, water, a battery radio.
FEMA NRI December 2025 · OpenFEMA declarations v2 · NFIP v3 · PNNL IECC 2021 · EPA radon · NOAA 1991–2020Method
§ 01

What the records say

Plain-language summary of the numbers below, compared with Arizona and the US.

By FEMA’s hazard scores (0 to 100, the share of US counties scoring lower), wildfire scores 99.1, lightning scores 94.1 and winter weather scores 86.0 in Gila County, and modeled expected annual losses from all hazards come to about $55.2 million a year across 53,118 residents.

There have been 23 federal disaster declarations covering Gila County in the OpenFEMA record, above the Arizona county median of 15 and close to the national county median of 20; 5 came in the last ten years. The most recent was telegraph fire (2021-06-06).

Gila County is part of the Payson, AZ micropolitan area.

Flood-insurance (NFIP) records list 154 claims in Gila County, close to the Arizona county median of 150, 33 of them in the last ten years. Of claims with a recorded zone, 26% were outside the mapped high-risk flood zone.

Gila County sits in climate zone 4B (mixed-dry) in the mixed-dry Building America region and EPA radon zone 2.

At Roosevelt 1 S (32 km from the county’s center), the typical first 32°F night is around Dec 25 and the last around Jan 17 (50% dates, 1991–2020), which sets when to winterize outdoor faucets.

§ 02

All 18 hazards

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025. Ratings and scores are relative to other US counties, not probabilities. Expected annual loss is FEMA’s modeled average across buildings, people and agriculture.

HazardRisk ratingRisk scoreExpected annual lossRecorded eventsPrepare
WildfireRelatively High99.1$16.5M—Checklist
LightningRelatively High94.1$1.1M151,319Checklist
Winter weatherRelatively High86.0$191,494122Checklist
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate93.1$35.2M153Checklist
Heat waveRelatively Moderate86.7$1.5M34Checklist
LandslideRelatively Low77.6$8,027—Checklist
Strong windRelatively Low41.7$278,27630Checklist
EarthquakeVery Low59.0$278,068—Checklist
AvalancheVery Low58.0$8010Checklist
HailVery Low29.3$74,26812Checklist
DroughtVery Low24.6$7,4122,870Checklist
TornadoVery Low13.4$72,7013Checklist
Volcanic activityVery Low9.1$01Checklist
HurricaneVery Low7.7$5820Checklist
Cold waveVery Low3.0$340Checklist
Coastal floodingNot Applicable———Checklist
Ice stormNot Applicable———Checklist
TsunamiNot Applicable———Checklist
FEMA NRI December 2025 · countiesOverall: Relatively Moderate · social vulnerability Very High · community resilience Very Low
§ 03

Federal disaster declarations

Each county-level declaration in OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, counted once per disaster number.

Declarations since 1953235 in the last ten years · most common: fire (9), flood (7), severe storm (4)
195319902026
DeclaredEventType
2021-06-06Telegraph fireFM · Fire
2020-08-26Griffin fireFM · Fire
2020-06-20Bush fireFM · Fire
2020-04-04COVID-19 pandemicDR · Biological
2020-03-13COVID-19EM · Biological
2010-03-18Severe winter storms and floodingDR · Severe Storm
2009-08-31Water wheel fireFM · Fire
2006-09-07Severe storms and floodingDR · Severe Storm
2005-09-12Hurricane Katrina evacuationEM · Hurricane
2005-07-22Az-wildfire (edge complex) 07-22-2005FM · Fire
2005-04-14Severe storms and floodingDR · Severe Storm
2005-02-17Severe storms and floodingDR · Severe Storm

Showing the 12 most recent of 23.

§ 04

Flood-insurance claims (NFIP)

Claims filed under the National Flood Insurance Program, from FEMA’s NfipClaims v3 dataset (all years on file), by year of loss.

Claims, all years15433 in the last ten years · peak year 1993 (35)
198020032026

Inside vs outside the mapped high-risk zone

Zones A and V: 103 (74%)Zones B, C and X: 36 (26%)

By the rated flood zone recorded on each claim. Claims outside the high-risk zone are a reminder that “minimal hazard” is not “no hazard”. Check your own zone with an address in the Snapshot.

§ 05

Climate, radon and freeze

IECC 2021 climate zone4BHigh desert of New Mexico and Arizona: dry air with cold winter nights.Zone 4B guidancePNNL · IECC 2021
Building America regionMixed-dryDry air, cold nights and hot days: wide temperature swings, wildfire smoke and freezes.November maintenance for this region
EPA radon zone2Moderate predicted indoor radon (2 to 4 pCi/L). EPA recommends testing every home.EPA map of radon zones
Typical first / last freezeDec 25 / Jan 1750% probability dates for 32°F at Roosevelt 1 S (USC00027281), 32 km from the county’s center.NOAA 1991–2020 normals
§ 06

This month’s plan for Gila County

Region tasks plus this county’s hazard ratings and freeze dates. Add your ZIP and systems on the Home Plan page to subscribe in your calendar.

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November5 tasks

  1. This month
    Press the test button on every smoke and CO alarm.

    An alarm you have not heard in months may have a dead battery or sensor. NFPA recommends testing smoke alarms at least once a month.

    How

    Hold the test button until it sounds. Anything silent or chirping: replace the battery, or the whole alarm if it is past its date.

    MonthlyEvery homeNFPA: Smoke alarms
  2. This month
    Check the date on the back of every smoke and CO alarm.

    Smoke alarms wear out: NFPA advises replacing them 10 years after the manufacture date. CO alarms have their own end-of-life date printed on them.

    How

    Twist each alarm off its base and read the date. Replace any past its life; swap batteries in alarms that take them.

    YearlyEvery homeNFPA: Smoke alarms
  3. This month
    Look under every sink and around toilets and the water heater for drips.

    Slow leaks rot cabinets and subfloors long before they show. Catching one early is a washer, not a floor.

    How

    Use a flashlight: feel supply lines and the shutoff valves, look for stains, warped cabinet floors or a toilet that rocks.

    Every 3 monthsEvery home
  4. Watch
    Look in the attic with a flashlight after the first big storm of the season.

    Stains on the roof deck, wet insulation or daylight around vents show leaks early, and droppings show pests.

    How

    Stay on the joists. Look around chimneys, vent pipes and valleys, the places most leaks start.

    YearlyEvery home
  5. Watch
    Stock a power-outage kit: flashlights, batteries, water, a battery radio.

    Winter storms bring multi-day outages.

    How

    Keep it in one bin. Add a phone power bank and a list of medicines that need power or refrigeration.

    YearlyMixed-dry climate regionReady.gov: Winter weather

December5 tasks

  1. This week
    Before the first freeze (~Dec 25): disconnect hoses and drain outdoor faucets.

    Water left in a hose bib can freeze, split the pipe inside the wall, and only leak when you turn it on in spring.

    How

    Remove hoses, close the indoor shutoff valve for each outdoor faucet if you have one, and open the outside faucet to drain it.

    Before the first freezeTypical first freeze ~Dec 25 (NOAA 1991–2020, 50% date)Ready.gov: Winter weather
  2. This week
    Before the first freeze (~Dec 25): shut off and drain or blow out the sprinkler system.

    Frozen water cracks backflow preventers and valves, an expensive spring surprise. (Skip if you have no in-ground irrigation.)

    How

    Close the irrigation shutoff, then drain per the system’s design or book a compressed-air blowout.

    Before the first freezeTypical first freeze ~Dec 25 (NOAA 1991–2020, 50% date)
  3. This month
    Press the test button on every smoke and CO alarm.

    An alarm you have not heard in months may have a dead battery or sensor. NFPA recommends testing smoke alarms at least once a month.

    How

    Hold the test button until it sounds. Anything silent or chirping: replace the battery, or the whole alarm if it is past its date.

    MonthlyEvery homeNFPA: Smoke alarms
  4. This month
    Before the first freeze (~Dec 25): insulate pipes in the crawlspace, garage and exterior walls.

    Pipes in unheated spaces are the ones that freeze. Foam sleeves cost little next to a burst pipe.

    How

    Fit foam pipe sleeves on exposed lines and seal drafts where pipes pass through outside walls.

    Before the first freezeTypical first freeze ~Dec 25 (NOAA 1991–2020, 50% date)Ready.gov: Winter weather
  5. Watch
    Degrease the range-hood filter.

    Grease-clogged hood filters stop pulling smoke and grease out of the kitchen and can feed a stovetop fire.

    How

    Pop the metal filter out and soak it in hot water with dish soap and baking soda, or run it through the dishwasher if the maker allows.

    Every 3 monthsEvery home
§ 07

Neighbouring counties

Information, not insurance, legal or engineering advice. Ratings describe the county as a whole; your address can differ. Found an error? Send a correction.