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County profile · FIPS 02240

Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, AK: home risks and climate

FEMA’s National Risk Index rates Southeast Fairbanks Census Area “Relatively Low” for overall risk relative to other US counties, 9th of 30 counties in Alaska by risk score. The hazards rated Relatively High or Very High here are avalanche. These are relative ratings, not probabilities.

County profile · Alaska

Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, AK

Overall riskRelatively Low
All 18 hazards for this countyrelative to other US counties, not a probability
AvalancheRelatively High
  • Know whether your home or access road crosses avalanche paths.
  • Follow local avalanche center forecasts in winter.
  • Keep supplies for being snowed in for several days.
WildfireRelatively Moderate
  • Clear dead leaves and needles from gutters, the roof and under decks.
  • Keep the first 5 feet around the house free of anything that burns (mulch, firewood, plants).
  • Cover vents with 1/8-inch metal mesh to keep embers out.
Cold waveRelatively Moderate
  • Know where the main water shutoff is and that it turns.
  • Insulate pipes in unheated crawlspaces, garages and exterior walls.
  • Have the heating system checked before winter.
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate
  • Clean gutters so melting snow drains instead of forming ice dams.
  • Check attic insulation and air sealing; warm attics cause ice dams.
  • Keep a snow shovel, ice melt and a backup heat plan.
EarthquakeRelatively Low
  • Strap the water heater to the wall with two straps.
  • Secure tall furniture and TVs to studs.
  • Know how to shut off gas at the meter, and only do it if you smell gas.
LandslideRelatively Low
  • Watch for new cracks in the ground, tilting trees or fences, and doors that stick.
  • Keep gutters and drains directing water away from slopes.
  • Know the signs of a debris flow during heavy rain.
  • Look up your FEMA flood zone, and remember that "minimal hazard" zones still flood.
  • Raise or move valuables, the furnace and the water heater off a basement floor where you can.
  • Test the sump pump and its backup before the wet season.
TornadoVery Low
  • Pick the safe room: lowest floor, interior, no windows. Tell everyone in the house.
  • Keep shoes, a flashlight and a helmet for each person there.
  • Turn on wireless emergency alerts on every phone.
Strong windVery Low
  • Trim dead or overhanging branches before storm season.
  • Check that gutters, siding and roof edges are fastened tight.
  • Tie down or store outdoor furniture, grills and trampolines.
HailVery Low
  • Photograph the roof and siding now, so you have a dated before picture.
  • Ask about impact-rated (UL 2218 Class 4) shingles when the roof is replaced.
  • Know your policy’s wind and hail deductible in dollars.
LightningVery Low
  • Use surge protection for electronics; ask an electrician about a whole-home surge protector.
  • Keep trees near the house healthy and trimmed.
  • Unplug sensitive electronics before a storm if you can.
Ice stormVery Low
  • Trim limbs that could fall on the house or the service drop.
  • Plan for a multi-day power outage: heat, water, phone charging.
  • If you own a generator, know how to run it outdoors safely.
  • Know if you are in a lahar or ashfall zone.
  • Keep N95 masks and goggles for ash.
  • Have a plan to protect the HVAC system from ash.
HurricaneNot Applicable
Coastal floodingNot Applicable
Heat waveInsufficient Data
DroughtNo Rating
TsunamiNot Applicable
Federal disaster declarations13latest: Mukluk fire, Aug 2026
Flood-insurance claims, all yearsNo county total on file
Climate zone8Subarctic (IECC 2021) · Subarctic region

Winterize outdoor faucets before ~Aug 27. Typical first 32°F night (50% date) at Tok #2, 62 km away. Last freeze ~Jun 3.

Radon Zone 2: moderate predicted indoor radon. EPA recommends testing every home, whatever the zone.

November plan, subarctic climateAll 12 months
  1. This monthPress the test button on every smoke and CO alarm.
  2. This monthCheck the date on the back of every smoke and CO alarm.
  3. This monthLook under every sink and around toilets and the water heater for drips.
  4. This monthGet winter gear ready: roof rake, shovel, ice melt and a backup heat plan.
  5. WatchLook in the attic with a flashlight after the first big storm of the season.
  6. WatchStock a power-outage kit: flashlights, batteries, water, a battery radio.
FEMA NRI December 2025 · OpenFEMA declarations v2 · NFIP v3 · PNNL IECC 2021 · EPA radon · NOAA 1991–2020Method
§ 01

What the records say

Plain-language summary of the numbers below, compared with Alaska and the US.

By FEMA’s hazard scores (0 to 100, the share of US counties scoring lower), avalanche scores 94.4, wildfire scores 97.1 and cold wave scores 80.5 in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, and modeled expected annual losses from all hazards come to about $12.1 million a year across 6,763 residents.

There have been 13 federal disaster declarations covering Southeast Fairbanks Census Area in the OpenFEMA record, above the Alaska county median of 4 and below the national county median of 20; 5 came in the last ten years. The most recent was mukluk fire (2026-08-18).

Southeast Fairbanks Census Area sits in climate zone 8 (subarctic) in the subarctic Building America region and EPA radon zone 2.

At Tok #2 (62 km from the county’s center), the typical first 32°F night is around Aug 27 and the last around Jun 3 (50% dates, 1991–2020), which sets when to winterize outdoor faucets.

§ 02

All 18 hazards

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025. Ratings and scores are relative to other US counties, not probabilities. Expected annual loss is FEMA’s modeled average across buildings, people and agriculture.

HazardRisk ratingRisk scoreExpected annual lossRecorded eventsPrepare
AvalancheRelatively High94.4$1.9M2Checklist
WildfireRelatively Moderate97.1$4.9M—Checklist
Cold waveRelatively Moderate80.5$2.4M95Checklist
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate68.9$77,395308Checklist
LandslideRelatively Low86.5$23,249—Checklist
EarthquakeRelatively Low86.5$2.0M—Checklist
Volcanic activityVery Low42.3$43Checklist
LightningVery Low12.0$25,67864,439Checklist
Ice stormVery Low11.9$4,0480Checklist
Inland floodingVery Low9.4$793,4360Checklist
HailVery Low1.0$3060Checklist
Strong windVery Low0.9$1211Checklist
TornadoVery Low0.8$10Checklist
DroughtNo Rating0.0$00Checklist
HurricaneNot Applicable———Checklist
Coastal floodingNot Applicable———Checklist
Heat waveInsufficient Data———Checklist
TsunamiNot Applicable———Checklist
FEMA NRI December 2025 · countiesOverall: Relatively Low · social vulnerability Very High · community resilience Very Low
§ 03

Federal disaster declarations

Each county-level declaration in OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, counted once per disaster number.

Declarations since 1953135 in the last ten years · most common: flood (4), severe storm (3), fire (2)
195319902026
DeclaredEventType
2026-08-18Mukluk fireFM · Fire
2023-08-23FloodingDR · Flood
2022-08-26FloodingDR · Flood
2020-04-09COVID-19 pandemicDR · Biological
2020-03-13COVID-19EM · Biological
2013-06-25FloodingDR · Flood
2012-11-27Severe storm, straight-line winds, flooding, and landslidesDR · Severe Storm
2009-06-11Flooding and ice jamsDR · Flood
2006-12-08Severe storms, flooding, landslides, and mudslidesDR · Severe Storm
2004-08-10Ak-bolgen creek fire-08-10-2004FM · Fire
2002-11-08EarthquakeDR · Earthquake
2000-02-17Severe winter storms and avalanchesDR · Severe Storm

Showing the 12 most recent of 13.

§ 04

Flood-insurance claims (NFIP)

Claims filed under the National Flood Insurance Program, from FEMA’s NfipClaims v3 dataset (all years on file), by year of loss.

No NFIP county total on file for this county.
§ 05

Climate, radon and freeze

IECC 2021 climate zone8Interior and northern Alaska.Zone 8 guidancePNNL · IECC 2021
Building America regionSubarcticExtreme cold and long dark winters; heating reliability is a safety system.November maintenance for this region
EPA radon zone2Moderate predicted indoor radon (2 to 4 pCi/L). EPA recommends testing every home.EPA map of radon zones
Typical first / last freezeAug 27 / Jun 350% probability dates for 32°F at Tok #2 (USC00509314), 62 km from the county’s center.NOAA 1991–2020 normals
§ 06

This month’s plan for Southeast Fairbanks Census Area

Region tasks plus this county’s hazard ratings and freeze dates. Add your ZIP and systems on the Home Plan page to subscribe in your calendar.

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November6 tasks

  1. This month
    Press the test button on every smoke and CO alarm.

    An alarm you have not heard in months may have a dead battery or sensor. NFPA recommends testing smoke alarms at least once a month.

    How

    Hold the test button until it sounds. Anything silent or chirping: replace the battery, or the whole alarm if it is past its date.

    MonthlyEvery homeNFPA: Smoke alarms
  2. This month
    Check the date on the back of every smoke and CO alarm.

    Smoke alarms wear out: NFPA advises replacing them 10 years after the manufacture date. CO alarms have their own end-of-life date printed on them.

    How

    Twist each alarm off its base and read the date. Replace any past its life; swap batteries in alarms that take them.

    YearlyEvery homeNFPA: Smoke alarms
  3. This month
    Look under every sink and around toilets and the water heater for drips.

    Slow leaks rot cabinets and subfloors long before they show. Catching one early is a washer, not a floor.

    How

    Use a flashlight: feel supply lines and the shutoff valves, look for stains, warped cabinet floors or a toilet that rocks.

    Every 3 monthsEvery home
  4. This month
    Get winter gear ready: roof rake, shovel, ice melt and a backup heat plan.

    The first storm empties hardware-store shelves.

    How

    Choose ice melt rated for your walkway material, and plan a safe backup heat source in case of a long outage.

    YearlySubarctic climate regionReady.gov: Winter weather
  5. Watch
    Look in the attic with a flashlight after the first big storm of the season.

    Stains on the roof deck, wet insulation or daylight around vents show leaks early, and droppings show pests.

    How

    Stay on the joists. Look around chimneys, vent pipes and valleys, the places most leaks start.

    YearlyEvery home
  6. Watch
    Stock a power-outage kit: flashlights, batteries, water, a battery radio.

    Winter storms bring multi-day outages.

    How

    Keep it in one bin. Add a phone power bank and a list of medicines that need power or refrigeration.

    YearlySubarctic climate regionReady.gov: Winter weather

December3 tasks

  1. This month
    Press the test button on every smoke and CO alarm.

    An alarm you have not heard in months may have a dead battery or sensor. NFPA recommends testing smoke alarms at least once a month.

    How

    Hold the test button until it sounds. Anything silent or chirping: replace the battery, or the whole alarm if it is past its date.

    MonthlyEvery homeNFPA: Smoke alarms
  2. This month
    Keep the furnace and water-heater intake and exhaust vents clear of snow.

    High-efficiency appliances vent through plastic pipes on the side wall. If drifting snow blocks them the appliance shuts down, or exhaust can back up.

    How

    After each storm, clear the pipes and a foot around them. Keep CO alarms working on every level.

    SeasonalSubarctic climate regionCPSC: Carbon monoxide
  3. Watch
    Degrease the range-hood filter.

    Grease-clogged hood filters stop pulling smoke and grease out of the kitchen and can feed a stovetop fire.

    How

    Pop the metal filter out and soak it in hot water with dish soap and baking soda, or run it through the dishwasher if the maker allows.

    Every 3 monthsEvery home
§ 07

Neighbouring counties

Information, not insurance, legal or engineering advice. Ratings describe the county as a whole; your address can differ. Found an error? Send a correction.