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County profile · FIPS 12057 · Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL

Hillsborough County, FL: home risks and climate

FEMA’s National Risk Index rates Hillsborough County “Relatively High” for overall risk relative to other US counties, 6th of 67 counties in Florida by risk score. The hazards rated Relatively High or Very High here are lightning, tornado, cold wave, hurricane, hail and inland flooding, plus 2 more. These are relative ratings, not probabilities.

County profile · Florida

Hillsborough County, FL

Overall riskRelatively High
All 18 hazards for this countyrelative to other US counties, not a probability
HurricaneVery High
  • Fit storm shutters or pre-cut, labeled plywood panels and store the fasteners with them.
  • Photograph every room and your roof before the season starts, for your insurance file.
  • Know your evacuation zone and where you would go.
TornadoVery High
  • Pick the safe room: lowest floor, interior, no windows. Tell everyone in the house.
  • Keep shoes, a flashlight and a helmet for each person there.
  • Turn on wireless emergency alerts on every phone.
LightningVery High
  • Use surge protection for electronics; ask an electrician about a whole-home surge protector.
  • Keep trees near the house healthy and trimmed.
  • Unplug sensitive electronics before a storm if you can.
Cold waveVery High
  • Know where the main water shutoff is and that it turns.
  • Insulate pipes in unheated crawlspaces, garages and exterior walls.
  • Have the heating system checked before winter.
Inland floodingRelatively High
  • Look up your FEMA flood zone, and remember that "minimal hazard" zones still flood.
  • Raise or move valuables, the furnace and the water heater off a basement floor where you can.
  • Test the sump pump and its backup before the wet season.
Coastal floodingRelatively High
  • Check your FEMA flood zone at your address; V and coastal A zones carry wave risk.
  • Know your evacuation route and zone before a storm is named.
  • Keep a flood-insurance policy in force; there is usually a 30-day wait.
HailRelatively High
  • Photograph the roof and siding now, so you have a dated before picture.
  • Ask about impact-rated (UL 2218 Class 4) shingles when the roof is replaced.
  • Know your policy’s wind and hail deductible in dollars.
Heat waveRelatively High
  • Service the AC before the hot season and clear the outdoor unit of debris.
  • Change the AC filter; a clogged filter cuts cooling.
  • Plan a cool place to go if the power or AC fails.
Strong windRelatively Moderate
  • Trim dead or overhanging branches before storm season.
  • Check that gutters, siding and roof edges are fastened tight.
  • Tie down or store outdoor furniture, grills and trampolines.
WildfireRelatively Moderate
  • Clear dead leaves and needles from gutters, the roof and under decks.
  • Keep the first 5 feet around the house free of anything that burns (mulch, firewood, plants).
  • Cover vents with 1/8-inch metal mesh to keep embers out.
DroughtRelatively Moderate
  • Watch for new cracks in foundations, walls and door frames; drought shrinks clay soils.
  • Fix running toilets and dripping faucets.
  • If you have a well, know its depth and recent yield.
EarthquakeRelatively Low
  • Strap the water heater to the wall with two straps.
  • Secure tall furniture and TVs to studs.
  • Know how to shut off gas at the meter, and only do it if you smell gas.
LandslideRelatively Low
  • Watch for new cracks in the ground, tilting trees or fences, and doors that stick.
  • Keep gutters and drains directing water away from slopes.
  • Know the signs of a debris flow during heavy rain.
Ice stormNot Applicable
TsunamiInsufficient Data
Volcanic activityNot Applicable
AvalancheNot Applicable
Federal disaster declarations47latest: Hurricane Milton, Oct 2024
Flood-insurance claims, all years18,556NFIP v3, county total
Climate zone2AHot-humid (IECC 2021) · Hot-humid region

Winterize outdoor faucets before ~Jan 12. Typical first 32°F night (50% date) at Tampa International Airport, 18 km away. Last freeze ~Jan 20.

Radon Zone 2: moderate predicted indoor radon. EPA recommends testing every home, whatever the zone.

November plan, hot-humid climateAll 12 months
  1. This monthPress the test button on every smoke and CO alarm.
  2. This monthCheck the date on the back of every smoke and CO alarm.
  3. This monthLook under every sink and around toilets and the water heater for drips.
  4. This monthClean gutters and downspouts after the leaves are down.
  5. WatchLook in the attic with a flashlight after the first big storm of the season.
  6. WatchRun the heat once before you need it; book a check if it has been a year.
FEMA NRI December 2025 · OpenFEMA declarations v2 · NFIP v3 · PNNL IECC 2021 · EPA radon · NOAA 1991–2020Method
§ 01

What the records say

Plain-language summary of the numbers below, compared with Florida and the US.

By FEMA’s hazard scores (0 to 100, the share of US counties scoring lower), lightning scores 99.7, tornado scores 99.7 and cold wave scores 99.5 in Hillsborough County, and modeled expected annual losses from all hazards come to about $494.6 million a year across 1,458,282 residents.

There have been 47 federal disaster declarations covering Hillsborough County in the OpenFEMA record, close to the Florida county median of 41 and above the national county median of 20; 20 came in the last ten years. The most recent was hurricane milton (2024-10-11).

Hillsborough County is part of the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL metropolitan area.

Flood-insurance (NFIP) records list 18,556 claims in Hillsborough County, above the Florida county median of 1,554, 11,560 of them in the last ten years. Of claims with a recorded zone, 13% were outside the mapped high-risk flood zone.

Hillsborough County sits in climate zone 2A (hot-humid) in the hot-humid Building America region and EPA radon zone 2.

At Tampa International Airport (18 km from the county’s center), the typical first 32°F night is around Jan 12 and the last around Jan 20 (50% dates, 1991–2020), which sets when to winterize outdoor faucets.

§ 02

All 18 hazards

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025. Ratings and scores are relative to other US counties, not probabilities. Expected annual loss is FEMA’s modeled average across buildings, people and agriculture.

HazardRisk ratingRisk scoreExpected annual lossRecorded eventsPrepare
LightningVery High99.7$8.1M1,892,661Checklist
TornadoVery High99.7$76.8M83Checklist
Cold waveVery High99.5$54.4M74Checklist
HurricaneVery High99.3$178.3M102Checklist
HailRelatively High97.8$5.7M72Checklist
Inland floodingRelatively High97.8$146.3M60Checklist
Heat waveRelatively High97.0$9.4M46Checklist
Coastal floodingRelatively High92.4$7.8M—Checklist
WildfireRelatively Moderate95.7$4.4M—Checklist
DroughtRelatively Moderate83.0$1.1M686Checklist
Strong windRelatively Moderate82.1$1.4M28Checklist
EarthquakeRelatively Low68.5$734,733—Checklist
LandslideRelatively Low64.4$3,722—Checklist
Winter weatherNo Rating0.0$00Checklist
Ice stormNot Applicable———Checklist
TsunamiInsufficient Data———Checklist
Volcanic activityNot Applicable———Checklist
AvalancheNot Applicable———Checklist
FEMA NRI December 2025 · countiesOverall: Relatively High · social vulnerability Relatively Low · community resilience Relatively Low
§ 03

Federal disaster declarations

Each county-level declaration in OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, counted once per disaster number.

Declarations since 19534720 in the last ten years · most common: hurricane (21), severe storm (7), tropical storm (5)
195319902026
DeclaredEventType
2024-10-11Hurricane MiltonDR · Hurricane
2024-10-07Hurricane MiltonEM · Hurricane
2024-09-28Hurricane HeleneDR · Hurricane
2024-09-24Tropical storm HeleneEM · Tropical Storm
2024-08-10Hurricane DebbyDR · Tropical Storm
2024-08-03Tropical storm DebbyEM · Tropical Storm
2023-08-31Hurricane IdaliaDR · Hurricane
2023-08-28Tropical storm IdaliaEM · Tropical Storm
2022-12-13Hurricane NicoleDR · Hurricane
2022-11-08Tropical storm NicoleEM · Tropical Storm
2022-09-29Hurricane IanDR · Hurricane
2022-09-24Tropical storm IanEM · Hurricane

Showing the 12 most recent of 47.

§ 04

Flood-insurance claims (NFIP)

Claims filed under the National Flood Insurance Program, from FEMA’s NfipClaims v3 dataset (all years on file), by year of loss.

Claims, all years18,55611,560 in the last ten years · peak year 2024 (10,269)
197820022026

Inside vs outside the mapped high-risk zone

Zones A and V: 15,942 (87%)Zones B, C and X: 2,321 (13%)

By the rated flood zone recorded on each claim. Claims outside the high-risk zone are a reminder that “minimal hazard” is not “no hazard”. Check your own zone with an address in the Snapshot.

§ 05

Climate, radon and freeze

IECC 2021 climate zone2AThe Gulf Coast and most of Florida: long, humid cooling seasons and brief cold snaps.Zone 2A guidancePNNL · IECC 2021
Building America regionHot-humidLong cooling season, heavy humidity and the Atlantic hurricane season set the calendar: drains, dehumidifying and storm prep.November maintenance for this region
EPA radon zone2Moderate predicted indoor radon (2 to 4 pCi/L). EPA recommends testing every home.EPA map of radon zones
Typical first / last freezeJan 12 / Jan 2050% probability dates for 32°F at Tampa International Airport (USW00012842), 18 km from the county’s center.NOAA 1991–2020 normals
§ 06

This month’s plan for Hillsborough County

Region tasks plus this county’s hazard ratings and freeze dates. Add your ZIP and systems on the Home Plan page to subscribe in your calendar.

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November6 tasks

  1. This month
    Press the test button on every smoke and CO alarm.

    An alarm you have not heard in months may have a dead battery or sensor. NFPA recommends testing smoke alarms at least once a month.

    How

    Hold the test button until it sounds. Anything silent or chirping: replace the battery, or the whole alarm if it is past its date.

    MonthlyEvery homeNFPA: Smoke alarms
  2. This month
    Check the date on the back of every smoke and CO alarm.

    Smoke alarms wear out: NFPA advises replacing them 10 years after the manufacture date. CO alarms have their own end-of-life date printed on them.

    How

    Twist each alarm off its base and read the date. Replace any past its life; swap batteries in alarms that take them.

    YearlyEvery homeNFPA: Smoke alarms
  3. This month
    Look under every sink and around toilets and the water heater for drips.

    Slow leaks rot cabinets and subfloors long before they show. Catching one early is a washer, not a floor.

    How

    Use a flashlight: feel supply lines and the shutoff valves, look for stains, warped cabinet floors or a toilet that rocks.

    Every 3 monthsEvery home
  4. This month
    Clean gutters and downspouts after the leaves are down.

    Blocked gutters overflow at the foundation, rot fascia and, in cold climates, help ice dams form.

    How

    From a stable ladder (with a helper), scoop debris, then flush each downspout with a hose. Extensions should drop water 4 to 6 feet from the house.

    Twice a yearHot-humid climate region
  5. Watch
    Look in the attic with a flashlight after the first big storm of the season.

    Stains on the roof deck, wet insulation or daylight around vents show leaks early, and droppings show pests.

    How

    Stay on the joists. Look around chimneys, vent pipes and valleys, the places most leaks start.

    YearlyEvery home
  6. Watch
    Run the heat once before you need it; book a check if it has been a year.

    Heating sits idle for most of the year in warm climates and cold snaps arrive fast. A short test run finds problems while repairs are easy to book.

    How

    Switch to heat, raise the setpoint a few degrees and confirm warm air within a few minutes. A brief dusty smell is normal.

    YearlyBecause of a system you told us aboutENERGY STAR: Air-source heat pumps

December4 tasks

  1. This week
    Before the first freeze (~Jan 12): disconnect hoses and drain outdoor faucets.

    Water left in a hose bib can freeze, split the pipe inside the wall, and only leak when you turn it on in spring.

    How

    Remove hoses, close the indoor shutoff valve for each outdoor faucet if you have one, and open the outside faucet to drain it.

    Before the first freezeTypical first freeze ~Jan 12 (NOAA 1991–2020, 50% date)Ready.gov: Winter weather
  2. This month
    Press the test button on every smoke and CO alarm.

    An alarm you have not heard in months may have a dead battery or sensor. NFPA recommends testing smoke alarms at least once a month.

    How

    Hold the test button until it sounds. Anything silent or chirping: replace the battery, or the whole alarm if it is past its date.

    MonthlyEvery homeNFPA: Smoke alarms
  3. Watch
    Degrease the range-hood filter.

    Grease-clogged hood filters stop pulling smoke and grease out of the kitchen and can feed a stovetop fire.

    How

    Pop the metal filter out and soak it in hot water with dish soap and baking soda, or run it through the dishwasher if the maker allows.

    Every 3 monthsEvery home
  4. Watch
    Reset sprinkler schedules for the cool season and test the rain sensor.

    Lawns need far less water in winter; overwatering wastes water and keeps foundations wet.

    How

    Cut run times, check each zone for broken heads, and press the rain sensor test if it has one.

    YearlyHot-humid climate region
§ 07

Neighbouring counties

Information, not insurance, legal or engineering advice. Ratings describe the county as a whole; your address can differ. Found an error? Send a correction.